Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.6% | 86.4% | +10.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +8 (78-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raiquan Gray * | 32 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 6-10 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 12 | - |
| M.J. Walker * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Balsa Koprivica * | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| RayQuan Evans * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 | - |
| Wyatt Wilkes * | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Polite | 26 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Scottie Barnes | 22 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Malik Osborne | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Sardaar Calhoun | 19 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Tanor Ngom | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Quincy Ballard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Love | 31 | 3-13 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Kerwin Walton | 26 | 3-10 | 3-10 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Leaky Black * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Garrison Brooks * | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Armando Bacot * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Walker Kessler | 24 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 22 | - |
| RJ Davis | 23 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Day'Ron Sharpe | 12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Harris | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Andrew Platek | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter