Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.4% | 71.6% | +5.4 | ✗ (12.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.2% | 69.8% | +4.6 | ✗ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils -7 (73-80). Ratings: 2020-21 season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlik Jones * | 44 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 37 | - |
| Samuell Williamson * | 42 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 29 | - |
| Jae'lyn Withers * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 25 | - |
| David Johnson * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Malik Williams * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Dre Davis | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Quinn Slazinski | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| JJ Traynor | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Hurt * | 43 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 46 | - |
| Wendell Moore * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 25 | - |
| DJ Steward * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Jordan Goldwire * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Mark Williams * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | - |
| Jeremy Roach | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jaemyn Brakefield | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Joey Baker | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter