Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.0% | 42.0% | -1.8 | ✗ (13.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +12 (60-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Walton | 26 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| C. Love | 25 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| G. Brooks | 24 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| A. Platek | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Harris | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| W. Miller | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Bacot * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| L. Black * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| RJ Davis | 24 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| D. Sharpe | 19 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| W. Kessler | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| R. McAdoo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Lebo | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Farris | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Hauser | 36 | 5-14 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| C. Morsell | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Huff * | 34 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 24 | - |
| K. Clark * | 34 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | - |
| R. Beekman * | 32 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - |
| T. Murphy III * | 25 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| T. Woldetensae | 20 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| K. Shedrick | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| F. Caffaro | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| J. Abdur-Rahim | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. McCorkle | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter