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2021-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Virginia Tech Hokies Spread Result
Elo 68.0% 32.0% -
Bradley-Terry 53.8% 46.2% -
Margin 39.3% 60.7% +2.4 (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 51.1% 48.9% -
Efficiency 41.2% 58.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 68.5% 31.5% -
Log Adjusted 68.2% 31.8% -

Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies +14 (65-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Hauser 34 4-10 2-7 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 10 7 -
C. Morsell 25 2-7 0-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 4 1 -
J. Huff 23 5-7 3-3 0-0 4 1 1 1 2 13 11 -
J. McKoy 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
K. Clark * 34 4-13 3-6 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 11 -1 -
T. Murphy III * 34 3-7 2-5 2-2 6 1 1 0 1 10 10 -
R. Beekman * 33 0-5 0-3 1-2 1 3 0 0 1 1 -1 -
T. Woldetensae 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -
F. Caffaro 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Aluma * 36 10-15 2-3 7-8 10 4 0 1 0 29 29 -
W. Bede * 35 2-3 1-1 2-2 4 5 1 1 3 7 12 -
J. Mutts * 34 2-7 0-2 0-0 8 2 0 0 2 4 5 -
N. Alleyne * 29 1-4 1-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 3 1 -
J. Cone * 26 2-6 2-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 6 0 -
H. Cattoor 31 5-7 3-5 2-2 1 1 1 2 0 15 13 -
D. N'Guessan 7 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 -
G. Ojiako 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter