Model Predictions
| Model | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.8% | 88.2% | +11.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +10 (80-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dane Goodwin * | 37 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Prentiss Hubb * | 36 | 7-22 | 4-11 | 5-7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 4 | - |
| Cormac Ryan * | 36 | 3-12 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Nate Laszewski * | 32 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Juwan Durham * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Nikola Djogo | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Matt Zona | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Tony Sanders | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Elijah Morgan | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Henry | 26 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Joshua Langford | 26 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Gabe Brown | 22 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Rocket Watts | 20 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Foster Loyer | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Thomas Kithier | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Marcus Bingham | 15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Julius Marble | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jack Hoiberg | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Joey Hauser * | 23 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Malik Hall | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| A.J. Hoggard | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Davis Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mady Sissoko | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Steven Izzo | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter