Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.0% | 95.0% | +16.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +17 (68-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Martin | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Alonzo Sule | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Mason Harrell * | 33 | 5-13 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Isiah Small * | 30 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Shelby Adams * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Marlin Davis * | 29 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Caleb Asberry | 25 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Quentin Scott | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Nighael Ceaser | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Drew Tennial | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javian Davis | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Quinten Post | 16 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| D.J. Stewart Jr. * | 30 | 9-14 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 9 | - |
| Tolu Smith * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Deivon Smith * | 29 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Cameron Matthews * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Abdul Ado * | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Jalen Johnson | 21 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Andersson Garcia | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Keondre Montgomery | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Reggie Morris | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Derek Fountain | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter