Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.0% | 74.0% | +5.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +8 (83-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Thomas * | 39 | 11-19 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Trendon Watford * | 38 | 6-15 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Javonte Smart * | 37 | 6-14 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Aundre Hyatt * | 24 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Darius Days * | 18 | 0-8 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Josh LeBlanc | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | - |
| Mwani Wilkinson | 12 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Eric Gaines | 7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jalen Cook | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davonte Davis * | 38 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Justin Smith * | 38 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Moses Moody * | 36 | 3-14 | 1-5 | 11-14 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Jalen Tate * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Connor Vanover * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| JD Notae | 32 | 5-15 | 2-6 | 6-9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 30 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Desi Sills | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Vance Jackson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter