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LSU Tigers 75
@
Arkansas Razorbacks 83
2021-02-27

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 30.7% 69.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 30.2% 69.8% - ✓
Margin 26.0% 74.0% +5.8 ✓ (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 27.2% 72.8% - ✓
Efficiency 8.6% 91.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 25.1% 74.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 25.0% 75.0% - ✓

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +8 (83-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Thomas * 39 11-19 1-5 2-4 7 1 0 1 1 25 14 -
T. Watford * 38 6-15 2-2 2-3 7 2 0 1 2 16 9 -
J. Smart * 37 6-14 3-3 0-1 5 4 0 0 2 15 8 -
A. Hyatt * 24 2-9 2-7 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 6 0 -
D. Days * 18 0-8 0-8 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 -4 -
J. LeBlanc Sr. 22 1-3 0-0 1-2 10 3 2 1 0 3 16 -
M. Wilkinson 12 3-3 1-1 1-2 2 0 0 1 1 8 7 -
E. Gaines 7 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -
J. Cook 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Davis * 38 7-12 0-2 1-2 5 6 1 0 0 15 15 -
J. Smith * 38 8-12 1-2 2-2 10 1 1 1 2 19 18 -
M. Moody * 36 3-14 1-5 11-14 8 5 0 0 1 18 16 -
J. Tate * 12 0-2 0-1 2-2 6 2 0 0 1 2 7 -
C. Vanover * 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
JD Notae 32 5-15 2-6 6-9 6 1 2 0 2 18 10 -
J. Williams 30 3-5 1-2 1-2 6 2 2 4 1 8 16 -
D. Sills 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 3 1 -
V. Jackson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter