Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.1% | 27.9% | -5.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -5 (59-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Herb Jones * | 34 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - |
| John Petty * | 33 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Jaden Shackelford * | 31 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Keon Ellis * | 21 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Bruner * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J. Quinerly | 27 | 8-16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 5 | - |
| James Rojas | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Alex Reese | 9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Joshua Primo | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Juwan Gary | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinten Post | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Javian Davis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cameron Matthews | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tolu Smith * | 35 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Iverson Molinar * | 35 | 5-15 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | -1 | - |
| D.J. Stewart Jr. * | 34 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 7-9 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Abdul Ado * | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Jalen Johnson * | 20 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Deivon Smith | 20 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Derek Fountain | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter