Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.3% | 36.7% | -3.0 | ✗ (18.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +15 (81-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Petty * | 35 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Herb Jones * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Bruner * | 22 | 5-14 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Jaden Shackelford * | 21 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Joshua Primo * | 18 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| J. Quinerly | 32 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Keon Ellis | 23 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Juwan Gary | 17 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Alex Reese | 6 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Darius Miles | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James Rojas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Smith * | 39 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Moses Moody * | 39 | 3-12 | 2-5 | 16-19 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 24 | - |
| Jalen Tate * | 37 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Davonte Davis * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Connor Vanover * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 22 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| JD Notae | 16 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Desi Sills | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Ethan Henderson | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
* = starter