Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Gators | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.9% | 48.1% | -0.4 | ✗ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +11 (75-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyree Appleby * | 37 | 6-14 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 16 | -1 | - |
| Noah Locke * | 31 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Tre Mann * | 27 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Duruji * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Omar Payne * | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Colin Castleton | 23 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Scottie Lewis | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Osayi Osifo | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Samson Ruzhentsev | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Niels Lane | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ques Glover | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Smith * | 37 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Moses Moody * | 37 | 3-14 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Davonte Davis * | 36 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Jalen Tate * | 31 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Connor Vanover * | 17 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| JD Notae | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Desi Sills | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Vance Jackson | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter