Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Missouri Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 80.4% | 19.6% | -7.8 | ✗ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Missouri Tigers +3 (68-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Petty * | 32 | 4-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Jaden Shackelford * | 32 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Joshua Primo * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Herb Jones * | 22 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Alex Reese * | 17 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Keon Ellis | 22 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| J. Quinerly | 21 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | -2 | - |
| James Rojas | 13 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Juwan Gary | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Darius Miles | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Pinson | 24 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Drew Buggs | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Torrence Watson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mark Smith * | 37 | 5-14 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Dru Smith * | 36 | 7-19 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Jeremiah Tilmon * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Kobe Brown * | 23 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Mitchell Smith | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Parker Braun | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Javon Pickett | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter