Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.1% | 88.9% | +11.4 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +18 (78-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Smart * | 36 | 4-15 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | -1 | - |
| T. Watford * | 35 | 3-13 | 0-2 | 3-8 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| C. Thomas * | 34 | 8-19 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 6 | - |
| J. LeBlanc Sr. * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Wilkinson * | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| E. Gaines | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| S. O'Neal | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| J. Cook | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Hyatt | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Gray | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Wall | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Petty Jr. * | 32 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Shackelford * | 29 | 7-16 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 4 | - |
| A. Reese * | 26 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| J. Primo * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| H. Jones * | 16 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Quinerly | 22 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| K. Ellis | 21 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| J. Gary | 14 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| D. Miles | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Ambrose-Hylton | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Rojas | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Cottrell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Barnes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter