Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Missouri Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 73.3% | 26.7% | -5.6 | ✗ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri Tigers +5 (75-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Mintz | 33 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Cam'Ron Fletcher | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Isaiah Jackson * | 34 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Devin Askew * | 31 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Boston * | 29 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Olivier Sarr * | 12 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Lance Ware | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Keion Brooks | 24 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Dontaie Allen | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Pinson | 31 | 5-14 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Drew Buggs | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Dru Smith * | 38 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 12-14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 28 | - |
| Jeremiah Tilmon * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Javon Pickett * | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kobe Brown * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Mitchell Smith | 29 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Mark Smith | 26 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Parker Braun | 12 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
* = starter