Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.7% | 87.3% | +10.6 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +8 (81-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javian Davis | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Quinten Post | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Iverson Molinar * | 35 | 5-19 | 1-4 | 8-8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 5 | - |
| D.J. Stewart Jr. * | 33 | 9-21 | 2-6 | 7-7 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 13 | - |
| Tolu Smith * | 32 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Abdul Ado * | 32 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jalen Johnson * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Cameron Matthews | 32 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Deivon Smith | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Herb Jones * | 37 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 25 | - |
| John Petty * | 32 | 4-12 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Alex Reese * | 28 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Jaden Shackelford * | 28 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Joshua Primo * | 23 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| J. Quinerly | 23 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Keon Ellis | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Keon Ambrose-Hylton | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Juwan Gary | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter