Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.1% | 24.9% | -6.1 | ✓ (23.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 91.7% | 8.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers -30 (75-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Shackelford * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| John Petty * | 26 | 8-11 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Herb Jones * | 25 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Joshua Primo * | 19 | 8-10 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Alex Reese * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Quinerly | 20 | 8-11 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Keon Ellis | 13 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| James Rojas | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - |
| Darius Miles | 9 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -2 | - |
| Keon Ambrose-Hylton | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Juwan Gary | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kendall Wall | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Britton Johnson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tyler Barnes | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trendon Watford * | 31 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Javonte Smart * | 31 | 4-14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Cameron Thomas * | 31 | 6-17 | 1-6 | 8-8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 3 | - |
| Mwani Wilkinson * | 19 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Darius Days * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Josh LeBlanc | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Shareef O'Neal | 15 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jalen Cook | 13 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Aundre Hyatt | 12 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Eric Gaines | 8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Parker Edwards | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Josh Gray | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter