Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri Tigers | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 20.5% | 79.5% | +7.4 | ✗ (20.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -13 (68-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Smith | 34 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Xavier Pinson | 33 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 12-15 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Jeremiah Tilmon | 28 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 22 | - |
| Dru Smith | 27 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Javon Pickett | 24 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Mitchell Smith | 21 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Drew Buggs | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Torrence Watson | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kobe Brown * | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moses Moody * | 38 | 4-15 | 4-8 | 6-10 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Desi Sills * | 37 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jalen Tate * | 30 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Davonte Davis * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Connor Vanover * | 20 | 0-11 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| JD Notae | 31 | 6-18 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 3 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 17 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Ethan Henderson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Khalen Robinson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Vance Jackson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter