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2021-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Missouri Tigers Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 27.5% 72.5% -
Bradley-Terry 25.5% 74.5% -
Margin 20.5% 79.5% +7.4 (20.4 off)
Pythagorean 43.5% 56.5% -
Efficiency 36.6% 63.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.4% 71.6% -
Log Adjusted 28.2% 71.8% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -13 (68-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ma. Smith 34 3-7 2-6 3-5 9 0 1 0 8 11 6 -
X. Pinson 33 5-11 1-4 12-15 5 4 0 0 2 23 19 -
J. Tilmon Jr. 28 9-13 0-0 7-10 11 0 0 0 1 25 22 -
D. Smith 27 2-4 2-2 0-0 3 1 2 1 6 6 3 -
J. Pickett 24 2-6 0-3 1-1 3 4 0 0 2 5 4 -
Mi. Smith 21 0-3 0-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
D. Buggs 13 0-1 0-0 3-4 4 4 0 0 2 3 8 -
T. Watson 6 0-2 0-2 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Brown * 14 3-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 6 8 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Moody * 38 4-15 4-8 6-10 10 1 2 1 1 18 16 -
D. Sills * 37 1-10 0-4 4-6 4 2 3 0 0 6 5 -
J. Tate * 30 3-5 1-3 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 8 4 -
D. Davis * 20 2-6 0-0 0-2 4 0 3 0 1 4 4 -
C. Vanover * 20 0-11 0-5 4-4 7 2 2 2 0 4 6 -
JD Notae 31 6-18 1-4 6-7 3 1 2 0 4 19 3 -
J. Williams 17 3-6 1-4 1-1 3 0 1 2 0 8 8 -
E. Henderson 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
K. Robinson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
V. Jackson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter