Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Pacific Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.0% | 77.0% | +7.4 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.2% | 80.8% | +7.9 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pacific Tigers +4 (74-70). Ratings: 2020-21 season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Bishop * | 38 | 4-16 | 1-7 | 6-8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Amin Adamu * | 33 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Jubrile Belo * | 30 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Borja Fernandez * | 28 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Tyler Patterson * | 26 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Nick Gazelas | 25 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Devin Kirby | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Abdul Mohamed | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kellen Tynes | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Mike Hood | 7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Bilal Shabazz | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniss Jenkins * | 38 | 4-16 | 2-6 | 7-9 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Broc Finstuen * | 38 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Jeremiah Bailey * | 31 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Pierre Crockrell II * | 18 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Nigel Shadd * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Bell | 26 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Justin Moore | 26 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Jahbril Price-Noel | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Marial Mading | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Jonathan Salazar | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jervay Green | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter