Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.8% | 70.2% | +4.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +3 (76-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Millner Jr. * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 31 | - |
| M. Jackson * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 26 | - |
| J. Komagum * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Keshaun Saunders | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Freemantle * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Dieonte Miles | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter