Model Predictions
| Model | South Alabama Jaguars | App State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.3% | 72.7% | +5.8 | ✗ (7.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.7% | 60.3% | +2.3 | ✗ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: App State Mountaineers -2 (63-65). Ratings: 2020-21 season-end ratings.
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Flowers * | 40 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 22 | - |
| John Pettway * | 40 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Tyreke Locure * | 37 | 6-15 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Kayo Goncalves * | 30 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Sam Iorio * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jamal West | 28 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| KK Curry | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lewis Jr. * | 35 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Justin Forrest * | 34 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 9-10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Donovan Gregory * | 33 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Adrian Delph * | 33 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Deshon Parker * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Michael Almonacy | 33 | 3-16 | 2-11 | 7-7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| CJ Huntley | 8 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| RJ Duhart | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Michael Eads Jr. | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter