Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.7% | 54.3% | +0.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.4% | 56.6% | +1.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +9 (73-64). Ratings: 2020-21 season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Delph * | 36 | 3-11 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Donovan Gregory * | 32 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Justin Forrest * | 25 | 2-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -4 | - |
| James Lewis Jr. * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Deshon Parker * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Michael Almonacy | 34 | 5-14 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| CJ Huntley | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Michael Eads Jr. | 10 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| RJ Duhart | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Pettway * | 40 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Michael Flowers * | 38 | 12-20 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 17 | - |
| Tyreke Locure * | 34 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Kayo Goncalves * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Sam Iorio * | 8 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| KK Curry | 35 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Jamal West | 32 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 19 | - |
| Adam Sizemore | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Zondrick Garrett | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Andrew Anderson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter