Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | App State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.1% | 82.9% | +10.0 | ✗ (23.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 18.7% | 81.3% | +8.1 | ✗ (21.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: App State Mountaineers -13 (56-69). Ratings: 2020-21 season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Stampley * | 33 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Khalyl Waters * | 30 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Duke Miles * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Zay Williams * | 25 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Kieffer Punter * | 21 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Desmond Williams | 28 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Kam Woods | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Christian Turner | 12 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Miles Mendes | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Gregory * | 36 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Justin Forrest * | 35 | 3-13 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Adrian Delph * | 31 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| James Lewis Jr. * | 30 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Deshon Parker * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Michael Almonacy | 33 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| RJ Duhart | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Michael Eads Jr. | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter