Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Gators | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 76.6% | 23.4% | -6.5 | ✗ (18.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +12 (83-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Lewis | 39 | 6-13 | 4-5 | 3-5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Tre Mann | 29 | 7-17 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Noah Locke | 24 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Tyree Appleby | 23 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Colin Castleton | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Omar Payne | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Osayi Osifo | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Duruji | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Ques Glover | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Keyontae Johnson | 4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Niels Lane | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M.J. Walker | 30 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 12-12 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Scottie Barnes | 28 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 2-6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Anthony Polite | 28 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Raiquan Gray | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Malik Osborne | 21 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Wyatt Wilkes | 18 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| RayQuan Evans | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Balsa Koprivica | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Sardaar Calhoun | 7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Tanor Ngom | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Nathanael Jack | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Quincy Ballard | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter