Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.5% | 79.5% | +7.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +11 (99-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Garza * | 37 | 13-18 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 26 | - |
| Joe Wieskamp * | 35 | 8-16 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Connor McCaffery * | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Bohannon * | 24 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 | - |
| CJ Fredrick Jr. * | 23 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Jack Nunge | 23 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Joe Toussaint | 18 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Patrick McCaffery | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Keegan Murray | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Ayayi | 38 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 23 | - |
| Andrew Nembhard | 30 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Corey Kispert | 25 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Oumar Ballo | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Dominick Harris | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jalen Suggs * | 33 | 8-17 | 7-10 | 4-7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 18 | - |
| Drew Timme * | 25 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Anton Watson * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Aaron Cook | 19 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Julian Strawther | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter