Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.0% | 23.0% | -6.7 | ✓ (20.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels -27 (51-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Love | 27 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Kerwin Walton | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| RJ Davis * | 28 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Leaky Black * | 25 | 1-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Garrison Brooks * | 23 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Armando Bacot * | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Day'Ron Sharpe | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Andrew Platek | 15 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Walker Kessler | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Walker Miller | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ryan McAdoo | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K.J. Smith | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Puff Johnson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Creighton Lebo | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Duwe Farris | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Grill | 31 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Moses Wood | 22 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| D. Jenkins Jr. | 20 | 1-9 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -6 | - |
| Devin Tillis | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Nicquel Blake | 14 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Edoardo Del Cadia | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Donavan Yap | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Bryce Hamilton * | 30 | 7-19 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 0 | - |
| Marvin Coleman * | 29 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| C. Diong * | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Reece Brown | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter