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2021-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns Texas Tech Red Raiders Spread Result
Elo 35.1% 64.9% -
Bradley-Terry 50.1% 49.9% -
Margin 32.6% 67.4% +4.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.3% 52.7% -
Efficiency 11.7% 88.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.0% 55.0% -
Log Adjusted 44.9% 55.1% -

Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders +9 (68-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Coleman III * 38 3-6 2-3 2-2 3 6 2 0 3 10 12 -
C. Ramey * 37 1-10 1-5 3-4 4 4 1 0 1 6 4 -
J. Sims * 28 4-5 0-0 3-4 7 1 0 0 2 11 12 -
A. Jones * 21 2-8 1-5 3-6 6 1 1 0 1 8 7 -
G. Brown * 13 2-7 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 5 -4 -
K. Jones 22 3-6 0-2 3-5 6 0 0 1 0 9 10 -
B. Cunningham 20 1-4 1-3 4-6 3 0 1 1 1 7 7 -
J. Febres 17 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
R. Hamm Jr. 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Williams 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. McCullar * 33 3-6 0-1 4-5 5 3 4 1 1 10 16 -
M. McClung * 32 4-13 2-4 6-7 4 0 0 0 3 16 4 -
M. Santos-Silva * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 1 1 10 20 -
M. Peavy * 26 2-6 0-1 1-2 5 4 0 0 1 5 7 -
K. Edwards * 25 2-5 2-5 4-4 3 4 0 0 1 10 11 -
T. Shannon Jr. 26 5-7 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 0 1 11 8 -
C. Nadolny 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
T. Smith 6 1-1 0-0 0-1 2 1 0 1 1 2 4 -
C. Agbo 3 1-3 0-2 2-2 0 0 0 1 0 4 2 -
A. Benson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
V. Goldin 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter