Model Predictions
| Model | BYU Cougars | Pacific Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.9% | 26.1% | -8.3 | ✓ (19.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.6% | 13.4% | -10.3 | ✓ (17.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.4% | 10.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pacific Tigers -28 (52-80). Ratings: 2020-21 season-end ratings.
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Averette * | 31 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Alex Barcello * | 29 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 8-10 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Caleb Lohner * | 27 | 6-8 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Matt Haarms * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Gideon George * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Trevin Knell | 26 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Connor Harding | 16 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Spencer Johnson | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Richard Harward | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Hunter Erickson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cameron Pearson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kolby Lee | 2 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Warr | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jesse Wade | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniss Jenkins * | 36 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jeremiah Bailey * | 32 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jordan Bell * | 24 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Pierre Crockrell II * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Broc Finstuen * | 21 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Jahbril Price-Noel | 19 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | - |
| James Hampshire | 17 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Justin Moore | 16 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Jalen Brown | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jervay Green | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jonathan Salazar | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter