Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.4% | 45.6% | -1.0 | ✗ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +3 (80-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ezra Manjon | 34 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Caleb Fuller | 23 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 15-17 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 23 | - |
| Cameron Ba * | 36 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Elijah Pepper * | 34 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Kennedy Koehler * | 28 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Christian Anigwe * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| B.J. Shaw | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ran Pehka | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Caleb McGill | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Aaron Murphy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Brown * | 38 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| TJ Starks * | 36 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 9-11 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Ron Artest * | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Brendan Harrick * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Miles Brookins * | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Vante Hendrix | 27 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 4-8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Alex Merkviladze | 25 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Fidelis Okereke | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Festus Ndumanya | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Atin Wright | 16 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
* = starter