Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.4% | 45.6% | -1.0 | ✗ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +3 (80-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Manjon | 34 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 13 | - |
| C. Fuller | 23 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 15-17 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 23 | - |
| C. Ba * | 36 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| E. Pepper * | 34 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| K. Koehler * | 28 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| C. Anigwe * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| B.J. Shaw | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| R. Pehka | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. McGill | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Murphy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Brown II * | 38 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| TJ Starks * | 36 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 9-11 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| R. Artest III * | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| B. Harrick * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Brookins * | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| V. Hendrix | 27 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 4-8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| A. Merkviladze | 25 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| F. Okereke | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| F. Ndumanya | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| A. Wright | 16 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
* = starter