Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.1% | 15.9% | -9.2 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty -3 (79-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Mabrey | 36 | 9-19 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Arike Ogunbowale | 35 | 8-20 | 1-9 | 9-10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 14 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 30 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Tyasha Harris | 30 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Bella Alarie | 28 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Kayla Thornton | 25 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Zahui B | 34 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Kia Nurse | 34 | 4-15 | 1-6 | 3-5 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Leaonna Odom | 31 | 10-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 14 | - |
| J. Jones | 31 | 8-14 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 29 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jocelyn Willoughby | 13 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| P. Kea | 11 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Kylee Shook | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Joyner Holmes | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Megan Walker | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter