Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.4% | 13.6% | -10.2 | ✓ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.7% | 15.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -23 (60-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jewell Loyd | 24 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Sami Whitcomb | 23 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Mercedes Russell | 21 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 20 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Ezi Magbegor | 20 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Jordin Canada | 20 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Epiphanny Prince | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Langhorne | 19 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Alysha Clark | 18 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| M. Tuck | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 35 | 7-18 | 2-5 | 8-8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 10 | - |
| B. Turner | 34 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham | 32 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Shey Peddy | 28 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| A. Jenkins | 21 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 20 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 17 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
* = starter