Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.1% | 24.9% | -6.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings -13 (75-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napheesa Collier | 38 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Bridget Carleton | 36 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Crystal Dangerfield | 35 | 6-15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 35 | 6-15 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 18 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Odyssey Sims | 16 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| L. Brown | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Erica McCall | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Johnson | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Mikiah Herbert Harrigan | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray | 34 | 9-15 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 15 | - |
| Arike Ogunbowale | 32 | 4-15 | 1-7 | 5-5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Kayla Thornton | 29 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Satou Sabally | 27 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 26 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Marina Mabrey | 25 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Tyasha Harris | 23 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Bella Alarie | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter