Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.5% | 58.5% | +1.9 | ✗ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx -4 (79-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Turner | 38 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 25 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 34 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 11-11 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 10 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 29 | 7-18 | 4-15 | 5-7 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 28 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Shey Peddy | 22 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 19 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| A. Smith | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napheesa Collier | 30 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Bridget Carleton | 27 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| L. Brown | 27 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Crystal Dangerfield | 23 | 9-14 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 23 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Odyssey Sims | 21 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Erica McCall | 15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Mikiah Herbert Harrigan | 12 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| S. Johnson | 10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| K. Alexander | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter