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2020-08-21

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Dallas Wings Spread Result
Elo 56.1% 43.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 45.6% 54.4% - โœ“
Margin 56.9% 43.1% -1.5 โœ— (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 50.8% 49.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 53.7% 46.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 53.7% 46.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 47.4% 52.6% - โœ“

Actual: Dallas Wings +9 (101-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Myisha Hines-Allen 43 13-23 3-4 6-6 12 3 2 1 1 35 29 -
Ariel Atkins 33 6-16 3-5 3-3 9 1 0 3 3 18 12 -
Kiara Leslie 25 3-6 2-3 2-2 4 3 1 0 2 10 10 -
Sug Sutton 25 1-4 0-1 2-3 3 2 0 0 1 4 4 -
Tianna Hawkins 22 5-7 1-3 0-0 5 1 1 1 2 11 10 -
Alaina Coates 22 3-5 0-0 5-7 7 2 0 0 7 11 8 -
Stella Johnson 21 0-6 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 0 1 -
Leilani Mitchell 20 0-2 0-1 3-3 1 4 0 0 1 3 5 -
J. Gemelos 15 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -3 -

Dallas Wings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Arike Ogunbowale 42 5-12 2-6 12-12 3 9 2 0 3 24 23 -
Kayla Thornton 39 5-9 4-6 3-4 10 2 2 0 1 17 21 -
Allisha Gray 36 2-11 0-3 3-3 3 2 3 1 1 7 4 -
Isabelle Harrison 32 8-13 0-0 3-5 4 2 1 2 2 19 13 -
Marina Mabrey 30 6-9 3-5 2-2 3 3 0 0 2 17 12 -
Tyasha Harris 26 4-6 1-2 1-1 1 3 1 0 0 10 9 -
Bella Alarie 13 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 2 1 4 3 -
K. Samuelson 7 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 1 -

* = starter