Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.2% | 23.8% | -6.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings -8 (83-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea Gray | 35 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Brittney Sykes | 32 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| T. Ruffin-Pratt | 29 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Candace Parker | 29 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 20 | - |
| R. Williams | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| S. Augustus | 16 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Kristine Anigwe | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Sydney Wiese | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Te'a Cooper | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Gülich | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arike Ogunbowale | 35 | 4-17 | 3-8 | 6-7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 3 | - |
| Allisha Gray | 33 | 7-13 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Satou Sabally | 32 | 5-16 | 1-6 | 5-7 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Kayla Thornton | 31 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Marina Mabrey | 30 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Tyasha Harris | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Bella Alarie | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter