Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.4% | 85.6% | +9.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +16 (96-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Williams * | 35 | 6-19 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Blake Dietrick * | 29 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - | - | |
| Betnijah Laney-Hamilton * | 28 | 7-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Elizabeth Williams * | 21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - | - | |
| Shekinna Stricklen * | 19 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Monique Billings | 27 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kalani Brown | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jaylyn Agnew | 10 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Glory Johnson | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Alexis Jones | 7 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough * | 34 | 7-14 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Brittney Griner * | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | - | - | |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith * | 24 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Brianna Turner * | 19 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Sophie Cunningham * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bria Hartley | 23 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 8-8 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Nia Coffey | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kia Vaughn | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Alanna Smith | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter