Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.3% | 31.7% | -4.2 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings -12 (79-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 36 | 9-20 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 36 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 10-10 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 25 | - |
| B. Turner | 32 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 20 | - |
| N. Coffey | 24 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| B. Hartley | 23 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| A. Smith | 17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Walker-Kimbrough | 14 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| K. Vaughn | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ogunbowale | 33 | 7-23 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 5 | - |
| S. Sabally | 28 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 18 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 26 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| K. Thornton | 25 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| I. Harrison | 23 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Gray | 21 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| B. Alarie | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Jefferson | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| M. Mabrey | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Harris | 5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
* = starter