Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.3% | 31.7% | -4.2 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings -12 (79-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Griner * | 36 | 9-20 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 22 | - | - | |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith * | 35 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 10-10 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Brianna Turner * | 31 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough * | 14 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Sophie Cunningham * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Nia Coffey | 24 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bria Hartley | 23 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Alanna Smith | 17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kia Vaughn | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arike Ogunbowale * | 33 | 7-23 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Satou Sabally * | 28 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kayla Thornton * | 24 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Isabelle Harrison * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Allisha Gray * | 21 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Katie Lou Samuelson | 25 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bella Alarie | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Moriah Jefferson | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Marina Mabrey | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tyasha Harris | 4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter