Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | +4.0 | ✗ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -7 (74-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Griner * | 36 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Diana Taurasi * | 28 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 10-10 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith * | 25 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Brianna Turner * | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Sophie Cunningham * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bria Hartley | 26 | 4-15 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Alanna Smith | 16 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Nia Coffey | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kia Vaughn | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betnijah Laney-Hamilton * | 36 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Chennedy Carter * | 33 | 11-21 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Elizabeth Williams * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Monique Billings * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Shekinna Stricklen * | 21 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Courtney Williams | 20 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Blake Dietrick | 20 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Glory Johnson | 19 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter