Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | +4.0 | ✗ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -7 (74-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 36 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 29 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 10-10 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 23 | - |
| B. Hartley | 27 | 4-15 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 26 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| B. Turner | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Smith | 16 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| N. Coffey | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Vaughn | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Walker-Kimbrough | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Laney-Hamilton | 36 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 19 | - |
| C. Carter | 33 | 11-21 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 8 | - |
| E. Williams | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -2 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 22 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| M. Billings | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| B. Dietrick | 21 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| C. Williams | 20 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| G. Johnson | 19 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
* = starter