Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.7% | 40.3% | -2.2 | ✗ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +7 (102-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Wilson | 30 | 7-19 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| D. Robinson | 28 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | - |
| D. Hamby | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 25 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| K. McBride | 23 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 8-8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 22 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - |
| C. Swords | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Young | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. Warley-Talbert | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 37 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 34 | 9-11 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 19 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 32 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 20 | - |
| B. Hartley | 23 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 6 | - |
| B. Turner | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 19 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| K. Vaughn | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| N. Coffey | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Smith | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter