Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Akron Zips | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.4% | 47.6% | -5.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.7% | 60.3% | +2.3 | ✗ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Akron Zips -4 (59-63). Ratings: 2019-20 season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinesha Lockett * | 37 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Sara Rokkanen * | 37 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Tanaya Beacham * | 35 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Nakiah Black * | 35 | 4-17 | 3-10 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | - |
| Mariella Santucci * | 34 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 21 | - |
| Sophia Wiard | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Mali Morgan-Elliott | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tatyana Davis | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Lexi Lance | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Akron Zips
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haliegh Reinoehl * | 40 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Caitlin Vari * | 38 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Shaunay Edmonds * | 36 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Kendall Miller * | 34 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Jordyn Dawson * | 15 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Alyssa Clay | 22 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Gabrielle Brown-Mitchell | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Lonasia Brewer | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Shayna Harmon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter