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2020-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Boise State Broncos Fresno State Bulldogs Spread Result
ELO 63.2% 36.8% -
Bradley-Terry 63.0% 37.0% -
Margin 44.6% 55.4% +1.2 (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% -

Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs -4 (76-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
R. Lupfer 40 1-8 1-5 1-2 2 1 1 1 4 -1
E. Woerner 35 4-5 2-2 - 8 4 2 1 10 18
J. Christopher 35 1-6 1-5 1-2 4 10 1 4 4 9
B. Hodgins 34 6-11 4-7 4-6 2 6 1 2 20 16
A. Coleman 27 7-11 2-2 - 6 2 1 1 2 16 13
J. Loville 25 8-16 -1 4-6 1 20 5
M. McGwire 24 2-8 -1 2-2 13 2 4 6 6 11
R. Bowers 3 - - - 0
M. Freeman 1 - - - 1 1

Fresno State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
M. Utti 45 5-9 -1 6-6 7 3 1 1 2 16 17
Hal. Cavinder 45 6-21 4-13 1-2 7 2 2 3 17 4
Han. Cavinder 45 8-20 - 1-2 7 2 3 4 17 5
A. Gamez 36 4-11 -2 9-11 9 4 3 3 17 19
B. Walling 24 2-2 - - 5 1 1 4 7
W. Motta 20 2-5 - 1-1 1 5 1
K. Kinzer 10 -1 -1 - 2 1

* = starter