Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.6% | 64.4% | +3.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans +1 (48-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Polacek | 38 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Gosnell | 37 | 7-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| P. Stanley | 37 | 2-15 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -3 | - |
| B. Plummer | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| M. Porter | 25 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | - |
| B. Bigott | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| H. McDonald | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Calder | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Mathews | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Hampton | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Collier | 40 | 5-16 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| T. Battle | 40 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| S. Chastain | 37 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| T. Lasker | 35 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| K. Vornes | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Francis | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Knapp | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Scott | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter