Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.1% | 42.9% | -1.6 | ✗ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +11 (82-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Wallace | 39 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 9-11 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 20 | - |
| P. Martin | 33 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| P. Tennison | 31 | 3-10 | 3-10 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| J. Ford | 28 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| S. Taylor | 25 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Washington | 21 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| M. Love | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Williams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Jackson | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Heckert | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Jones | 38 | 8-16 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 17 | - |
| S. Kines | 34 | 4-15 | 2-10 | 11-12 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 17 | - |
| K. Centers | 33 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 22 | - |
| A. Lewis | 30 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-11 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 21 | - |
| D. Telemaque | 24 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| J. Morrow | 20 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Mallard | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Buster | 8 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| M. Vaught | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter