Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | UT Arlington Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.4% | 86.6% | +10.3 | ✓ (13.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks +24 (74-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Johnson | 2122 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| K. Taylor | 35 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| D. Hood | 32 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| A. Alexander | 30 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| B. Holle | 28 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
| B. Holle | 25 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| C. Johnson | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Reed | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. King | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Bowie | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Milton | 31 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| M. Benson | 27 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| K. Ferrell | 24 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | - |
| A. Evans | 21 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| B. Wickware | 21 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| M. Dossey | 18 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - |
| C. Chastain | 17 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| K. Mayhue | 15 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| E. Halverson | 12 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| C. Hawkins | 8 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| B. Benson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter