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2020-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Pittsburgh Panthers NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 38.0% 62.0% -
Bradley-Terry 24.3% 75.7% -
Margin 29.5% 70.5% +4.8 (10.2 off)
Pythagorean 22.7% 77.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 10.6% 89.4% -
Log Adjusted 10.7% 89.3% -

Actual: NC State Wolfpack +15 (73-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. McGowens * 38 5-14 2-6 0-0 3 3 2 0 4 12 2 -
J. Champagnie * 32 4-13 1-5 0-2 3 1 0 2 0 9 2 -
A. Toney * 31 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 4 3 -
X. Johnson * 27 5-9 0-1 5-5 8 2 2 0 8 15 10 -
E. Hamilton * 27 2-5 0-1 2-2 9 0 1 1 0 6 12 -
R. Murphy 13 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 -1 -
G. Drumgoole Jr. 12 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
A. Coulibaly 9 0-2 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
T. Brown 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Starzynski 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
S. George 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
KJ Marshall 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Aiken Jr. 1 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C.J. Bryce * 36 6-16 1-4 0-0 10 3 3 0 2 13 11 -
M. Johnson * 35 3-6 0-2 1-3 4 11 2 0 5 7 13 -
DJ Funderburk * 30 4-7 0-0 2-3 7 0 0 2 2 10 10 -
D. Daniels * 30 9-14 1-2 4-5 6 1 2 0 1 23 17 -
J. Hellems * 18 1-6 0-0 2-2 2 2 3 1 0 4 6 -
B. Beverly 27 4-8 2-6 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 10 5 -
M. Bates 11 1-1 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 1 0 3 8 -
P. Andree 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Dixon 3 1-1 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
M. Farthing 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Graham 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter