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2020-03-10

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Virginia Tech Hokies Spread Result
Elo 52.4% 47.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 50.9% 49.1% - โœ“
Margin 58.9% 41.1% -2.0 โœ“ (20.0 off)
Pythagorean 78.4% 21.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 86.3% 13.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 86.4% 13.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 86.4% 13.6% - โœ“

Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies -22 (56-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Garrison Brooks 34 6-11 0-0 8-10 4 2 0 1 1 20 15 -
Brandon Robinson 30 5-8 5-6 2-2 6 2 1 2 0 17 20 -
Andrew Platek 8 2-5 1-2 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 6 0 -
Walker Miller 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K.J. Smith 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Robbie O'Han 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Shea Rush 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Ryan McAdoo 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Caleb Ellis 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Cole Anthony * 34 3-10 1-3 3-5 8 4 1 0 4 10 9 -
Armando Bacot * 29 5-9 0-0 2-2 11 0 0 0 1 12 13 -
Leaky Black * 26 2-4 0-1 1-2 6 4 0 0 0 5 11 -
Christian Keeling 18 1-5 0-1 2-2 3 1 1 0 0 4 4 -
Justin Pierce 16 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 4 7 -
Jeremiah Francis 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Johnson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
W. Bede * 34 2-6 0-3 1-2 5 5 1 2 1 5 11 -
L. Nolley II * 28 4-11 2-6 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 10 3 -
P.J. Horne * 25 2-8 2-6 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 6 2 -
Tyrece Radford * 20 2-6 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 4 2 -
N. Alleyne * 15 0-6 0-2 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 2 -3 -
H. Cattoor 26 5-11 4-10 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 14 7 -
J. Cone 25 3-11 2-8 3-3 1 1 1 0 0 11 3 -
Ginika Ojiako 15 0-1 0-0 4-4 7 0 0 2 1 4 11 -
I. Wilkins 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 0 4 -

* = starter