Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.1% | 56.9% | +1.5 | ✓ (15.5 off) |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +17 (85-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Johnson | 35 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Kendall Lewis | 34 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Justin Forrest | 26 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Adrian Delph | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| James Lewis | 6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| O'Showen Williams * | 39 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 7-10 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Hunter Seacat * | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Donovan Gregory | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Michael Bibby | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jamie Baker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bryant Greene | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Andrew Muse | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J.C. Tharrington | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nijal Pearson * | 36 | 9-16 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Isiah Small * | 25 | 9-11 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 25 | - |
| Shelby Adams * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Marlin Davis * | 24 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Eric Terry * | 23 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Alonzo Sule | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Caleb Asberry | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Quentin Scott | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Mason Harrell | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Drew Tennial | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Bormann | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Garrett Shaw | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter