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Mississippi State Bulldogs 72
@
Virginia Cavaliers 59
2019-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi State Bulldogs Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 37.3% 62.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 69.7% 30.3% - ✓
Margin 80.8% 19.2% -7.9 ✓ (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 53.3% 46.7% - ✓

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -13 (59-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Taylor 33 2-5 0-1 1-3 0 8 2 0 0 5 10 -
C. Bibby 32 3-11 1-8 1-1 6 3 1 0 1 8 6 -
J. Carter 31 5-11 0-0 3-4 15 2 0 2 3 13 18 -
R. Jackson 28 7-15 1-3 2-2 5 0 0 0 2 17 5 -
J. Danberry 23 5-8 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 4 10 5 -
X. Wiggins 18 2-6 2-5 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 6 2 -
J. Mingo-Young 12 2-2 2-2 4-5 1 1 0 1 3 10 8 -
Y. Morris 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 0 3 -
A. Espinoza-Hunter 8 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
A. Matharu 5 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -3 -
J. Hemingway 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Willoughby 37 8-20 2-7 3-3 6 2 3 0 4 21 8 -
L. Jablonowski 35 3-4 0-0 4-4 3 0 0 1 3 10 7 -
D. Toussaint 31 3-8 1-1 4-4 2 3 1 0 3 11 6 -
K. Kornegay-Lucas 26 2-9 0-1 2-3 7 2 1 1 1 6 7 -
A. Toi 22 3-6 1-3 0-0 0 4 0 0 2 7 3 -
C. Miller 20 0-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Lawson 18 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 2 1 -
S. Williams 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter