Model Predictions
| Model | Valparaiso Beacons | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.4% | 96.6% | +18.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +15 (85-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Stoller | 30 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| C. Weinman | 30 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| S. Frederick | 25 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| G. White | 24 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 7-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| C. Morrison | 24 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| G. Hales | 22 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| I. Pitts | 22 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| E. Ellenson | 18 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| C. Vankempen | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Z. MacKay Zacker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Meredith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Calip | 30 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| A. Willard | 29 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 7 | - |
| A. Hipp | 25 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| J. Franklin | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16 | - |
| M. Bhinhar | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| S. Wilson | 19 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Ruffridge | 18 | 5-10 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| S. Manning | 15 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| E. Gartner | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Ealy | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Schultz | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Knapp | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Ellis | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter